Wednesday, November 20, 2019

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Seasonal Hedging Outlook

Prices are down, markets seem calm. So, what’s there to worry about? A lot, actually.
As of this writing on October 1, we find ourselves on the cusp of another adventure into the unknown. Let’s look at what the heating season might bring us in context of the three… http://oilandenergyonline.com/articles/all/seasonal-hedging-outlook/

All Eyes on Margins

Cloud technology offers hedgers more accurate statements, deeper insight
Another hedging season (and summer) is about to end, and another heating season (and winter) is right around the corner. How will you keep track of your margins, specifically the… http://oilandenergyonline.com/articles/all/all-eyes-margins/

The Big Question Post-OPEC+ Agreement

Where do we go from here?
In June, my colleague Rachel Luc laid out the landscape ahead of the OPEC+ meeting in Vienna, at which OPEC and, the following day, non-OPEC producers (led by Russia) would decide… http://oilandenergyonline.com/articles/all/big-question-post-opec-agreement/

How to Prepare Your Heating Fuel Business for IMO 2020

The impact of this incoming regulation could be felt by next heating season
There has been much discussion this spring and summer about the potential impact from the implementation of the IMO 2020 regulation. Due to the timing of the changeover to low… http://oilandenergyonline.com/articles/all/how-prepare-your-heating-fuel-business-imo-2020/

Occidental Beats Out Chevron in Bidding War for Anadarko

On May 9, Occidental Petroleum announced it had entered into a definitive agreement whereby the company will acquire Anadarko Petroleum Corporation for $59 in cash and 0.2934 shares of Occidental common stock per share of Anadarko common stock, in a trans…
Acquisition marks the biggest oil industry deal in three years On May 9, Occidental Petroleum announced it had entered into a definitive agreement whereby the company will… http://oilandenergyonline.com/articles/all/occidental-beats-out-chevron-bidding-war-anadarko/

Status of OPEC Agreement Ahead of June Meeting

In February 2016, Saudi Arabian Oil Minister Ali Al-Naimi announced a plan for a potential crude production cut. In December 2016, for the first time in nearly eight years, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) reached an agreement …
OPEC producers are set to meet on June 25 and 26 in Vienna, Austria   In February 2016, Saudi Arabian Oil Minister Ali Al-Naimi announced a plan for a potential crude… http://oilandenergyonline.com/articles/all/status-opec-agreement-ahead-june-meeting/

More, More, More

Crude oil production in the United States has been growing at what the Paris-based International Energy Agency (IEA) has called a “relentless pace.” The agency forecasts U.S. crude oil production growth will represent 83 percent of this year’s non-OPEC pr…
Crude oil production in the United States has been growing at what the Paris-based International Energy Agency (IEA) has called a “relentless pace.” The agency forecasts U.S.… http://oilandenergyonline.com/articles/all/more-more-more/

Risks & Returns

A cursory glance at The Diff. on page 3 of our April 2019 issue shows the New York Harbor price for No. 2 Fuel Oil and No. 2 ULSD resting comfortably just under $2.00, at $1.977 and $1.999 respectively. The Barometer, also on page 3, lists WTI Crude at $5…
A cursory glance at The Diff. on page 3 of our April 2019 issue shows the New York Harbor price for No. 2 Fuel Oil and No. 2 ULSD resting comfortably just under $2.00, at $1.977… http://oilandenergyonline.com/articles/all/risks-returns/

Yes, It STILL Makes Sense to Hedge and Offer Price Protection

If this article looks familiar it’s because I am doing a bit of recycling from past columns. I decided it made sense to look backward a bit (about five years). I’m revisiting the questions you likely ask every year about this time. Do you need to offer yo…
If this article looks familiar it’s because I am doing a bit of recycling from past columns. I decided it made sense to look backward a bit (about five years). I’m revisiting the… http://oilandenergyonline.com/articles/all/yes-it-still-makes-sense-hedge-and-offer-price-protection/

A Return of Volatility

During the last three months of 2018, crude oil lost over 40% of its value. West Texas Intermediate crude futures traded on NYMEX tumbled from their 2018 peak of $76.41/bbl on October 3, to $42.53/bbl on Christmas Eve, while Brent crude dropped from $86.2…
During the last three months of 2018, crude oil lost over 40% of its value. West Texas Intermediate crude futures traded on NYMEX tumbled from their 2018 peak of $76.41/bbl on… http://oilandenergyonline.com/articles/all/return-volatility/

Natural Gas Hedge Fund Crash Costs Investors Millions

Your money is gone. That’s what natural gas hedge fund investor James Cordier struggled to admit to clients in his 10-minute, 20-second apology video posted to YouTube in November. Cordier, who appears to be holding back tears across the video’s runtime, …
Your money is gone. That’s what natural gas hedge fund investor James Cordier struggled to admit to clients in his 10-minute, 20-second apology video posted to YouTube in… http://oilandenergyonline.com/articles/all/natural-gas-hedge-fund-crash-costs-investors-millions/

Sanctioned

On July 14, 2015, the five permanent members of the United Nations Security Council (China, France, Russia, the United Kingdom and the United States) plus Germany signed the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) with Iran, known commonly as the Iran …
On July 14, 2015, the five permanent members of the United Nations Security Council (China, France, Russia, the United Kingdom and the United States) plus Germany signed the Joint… http://oilandenergyonline.com/articles/all/sanctioned/

Past, Present & Future

As another heating season approaches, it’s a good time to review the past, discuss current events, and peek into the future a little. Several topics come to mind, namely weather, politics and ULSD-heating oil.
As another heating season approaches, it’s a good time to review the past, discuss current events, and peek into the future a little. Several topics come to mind, namely weather,… http://oilandenergyonline.com/articles/all/past-present-future/

Wet Plus Put Equals Protection

Last month my colleague over at Hedge Solutions, Rachel Luc, went over the basics of hedging a Capped Price Program. During that exposition, she noted that there are different consequences for basis protection from hedging with paper only versus hedging w…
Last month my colleague over at Hedge Solutions, Rachel Luc, went over the basics of hedging a Capped Price Program. During that exposition, she noted that there are different… http://oilandenergyonline.com/articles/all/wet-plus-put-equals-protection/

Back to Basics with Hedging for Fuel Dealers

Which heating oil program(s) are you offering your clients this winter? How well is your profit margin protected? Ever felt the need to revisit your hedging strategies? The New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) launched the first heating oil futures con…
Which heating oil program(s) are you offering your clients this winter? How well is your profit margin protected? Ever felt the need to revisit your hedging strategies? The New… http://oilandenergyonline.com/articles/all/back-basics-hedging-fuel-dealers/

The Impact of Demand on Oil Prices

According to Oilprice.com, over “the last half-decade, the focus in the media and among analysts is usually on the supply picture … but evidence suggests … demand … tends to have just as much influence, sometimes more. That suggests that [the success of O…
According to Oilprice.com, over “the last half-decade, the focus in the media and among analysts is usually on the supply picture … but evidence suggests … demand … tends to have… http://oilandenergyonline.com/articles/all/impact-demand-oil-prices/

A Few Ideas About Hedging

It’s been said that humans are best equipped for learning during the late morning hours, as our brains are most ‘awake’ and thus, more receptive to new ideas around 11 a.m. If this is the case, then Richard Larkin, president of Hedge Solutions, had a near…
It’s been said that humans are best equipped for learning during the late morning hours, as our brains are most ‘awake’ and thus, more receptive to new ideas around 11 a.m. If… http://oilandenergyonline.com/articles/all/few-ideas-about-hedging/

U.S. and Saudis Clamp Down on Iran

Early last month, President Trump announced that the United States is pulling out of the 2015 Iran nuclear deal and will reimpose a high level of sanctions on Tehran after a transition period of up to 180 days, to allow companies time to unwind business d…
Is this the End of the Output Cut Agreement? Early last month, President Trump announced that the United States is pulling out of the 2015 Iran nuclear deal and will reimpose a… http://oilandenergyonline.com/articles/all/us-and-saudis-clamp-down-iran/

U.S. Shale Production Growth Outlook

As always, there are multiple factors that weigh on oil markets, causing prices to rise and fall. U.S.–China trade tensions, the slow-motion implosion of Venezuela’s oil industry, and the possibility that the United States will re-impose sanctions on Iran…
As always, there are multiple factors that weigh on oil markets, causing prices to rise and fall. U.S.–China trade tensions, the slow-motion implosion of Venezuela’s oil industry,… http://oilandenergyonline.com/articles/all/us-shale-production-growth-outlook/

OPEC Seeks Oil Market Stability

Moving on From Output Cut Deal
Moving on From Output Cut Deal In January 2017, OPEC and allied non-OPEC oil producers, most notably Russia, implemented a reduced production agreement for the purpose of… http://oilandenergyonline.com/articles/all/opec-seeks-oil-market-stability/

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